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Featured
Trading · July 2026
QQQ Donchian Breakout
Reframes the poster's suspiciously-clean Fibo H4 pattern claim into a transparent, well-known breakout rule (Donchian/turtle) that can be honestly tested…
Trading · July 2026QQQ Two-Day Dip Reversion
Short-horizon equity mean reversion is a classic stat-arb style edge; the 'quant bloodbath last week of June' thread suggests this edge is crowded and…
Recent work
Too Much WorldA small theory of how intelligent agents should decide what to learn, when to stop, and where to look next
2026How to Measure a Site Acquisition PipelineMarket depth, evidence and the backlog behind delivery
2026Backlog WeatherA retrospective test design for pipeline evidence
2026Algorithmic trading anthology — July 2026Can you predict financial markets from the weather? One hundred and sixteen experiments against a bar fixed in advance. Two held up; three that appeared to were withdrawn on review.
2026Time-Series Momentum, ETF BasketTime-series momentum captures slow diffusion of information and behavioural under-reaction; well-documented across asset classes (Moskowitz-Ooi-Pedersen)…
2026Sector Rotation MomentumCross-sectional momentum: recent relative winners tend to keep outperforming over 1-12 month horizons. Documented across equities, sectors and countries…
2026
